Chelsea vs PSG: Who Will Reign Supreme in the Club World Cup Final?
The Club World Cup Final is here, and it’s Chelsea vs PSG—a match that’s about more than just lifting a trophy. With pride, bragging rights, and a financial boost all on the line, both sides are set to bring everything they’ve got.
Match Preview
Chelsea: Rolling Under Maresca
Few expected Chelsea to make it this far, but they’ve proved the doubters wrong, winning five out of six games in the tournament. Their 2-0 win over Fluminense in the semis showed just how far they’ve come under Enzo Maresca. He’s found a balance between solid defending and sharp attacking play.
Chelsea have now won 13 of their last 15 matches. They’re scoring regularly and have tightened things up at the back—just in time for this final.
PSG: On the Verge of a Clean Sweep
PSG already have three domestic titles and the Champions League this season. Now they’re one win away from claiming everything. Their 4-0 thrashing of Real Madrid in the semis was a clear message: this team means business.
They’ve won 10 of their last 11 games and haven’t conceded in their last seven. Luis Enrique’s system is working perfectly. They’re organized, ruthless, and hard to break down—Chelsea have their work cut out.
Head-to-Head: Chelsea vs PSG
PSG have the edge historically. In eight previous meetings:
- PSG wins: 3
- Chelsea wins: 2
- Draws: 3
The French side haven’t lost in the last four meetings (2 wins, 2 draws). They’ve gone head-to-head plenty of times in the Champions League over the years.
Last 8 Meetings
- Mar 9, 2016: Chelsea 1-2 PSG
- Feb 16, 2016: PSG 2-1 Chelsea
- Jul 25, 2015: PSG 1-1 Chelsea
- Mar 11, 2015: Chelsea 2-2 PSG
- Feb 17, 2015: PSG 1-1 Chelsea
- Apr 8, 2014: Chelsea 2-0 PSG
- Apr 2, 2014: PSG 3-1 Chelsea
- Jul 23, 2012: PSG 1-1 Chelsea
From Champions League drama to preseason friendlies, these two always put on a show.
Key Stats & Trends
- Chelsea have only scored more than once in regulation time once in their last six games vs European teams.
- They lead the tournament in total shots (100).
- PSG have won 5 of their last 7 by three goals or more.
- PSG have led at halftime in 6 of their last 8.
- Chelsea: 14 goals scored, 5 conceded in last 6.
- PSG: 16 goals scored, just 1 conceded in last 6.
Players to Watch & Team News
João Pedro scored twice in the semis and has a habit of finding the net late—he’s done it in 16 of his last 19 games. For PSG, Ousmane Dembélé is on fire, scoring in both knockout rounds. He’s already struck against City, Liverpool, and Arsenal this season.
Chelsea are sweating on Moisés Caicedo’s fitness after he picked up a knock. PSG will miss Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernández due to suspensions.
Predicted Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; Fernandez, Caicedo; Neto, Palmer, Nkunku; Pedro
PSG (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Kvaratskhelia, Dembele, Doue
Unavailable:
- Chelsea: Caicedo (doubtful)
- PSG: Pacho, Hernández (suspended)
Tactical Setup
Chelsea will likely sit deep and look to break quickly. The link-up between Palmer and Nkunku will be key in those moments.
PSG will dominate possession. Expect them to build from the back and flood the flanks. Ruiz and Vitinha will look to control the tempo, while Hakimi’s overlapping runs could stretch Chelsea’s shape.
Key Matchups
- Cucurella vs Dembélé: If Dembélé gets space, he’ll make Chelsea pay.
- Caicedo vs Ruiz: If Caicedo plays, stopping Ruiz’s late runs will be his biggest task.
- Palmer vs Marquinhos: Palmer is dangerous in space. If PSG’s line is too high, he’ll look to exploit the gaps.
Form Guide
Chelsea (Last 6): W-L-W-W-W-W
Scored: 14 | Conceded: 5
PSG (Last 6): W-L-W-W-W-W
Scored: 16 | Conceded: 1
Both teams are in great form, but PSG have looked more dominant overall.
Match Odds
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- Chelsea to win: 5.20
- Draw: 4.20
- PSG to win: 1.66
Prediction
Chelsea have the tools to stay in the game. They can sit back, absorb pressure, and hit on the break—especially with Pedro in form. But PSG are just operating at another level right now. Their midfield control and defensive discipline should be enough.
Prediction: PSG 2-1 Chelsea
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